The Grand Slam Probability Quest

Before you begin
For those who might need to refresh on some concepts and key terms on probability the following link: http://quizlet.com/1970700/probability-vocabulary-flash-cards/ will direct you to a list of terms with its visual and audio definition. Feel free to visit this site as often as needed.

1. First you will begin exploring the concept of probability by visiting a series of sites. In the following site: http://www.free-training-tutorial.com/probability-games.html you will practice some drills on probability. 

Select the first drill game titled: Basic Probability Practice.
In this game questions will appear in the form of "How likely is it that..." along with diagrams. You can select your answer from four options: Certain, Probable, Unlikely and Impossible.

2. After the practice drills, you will then select the Probability Fair game: http://www.free-training-tutorial.com/probability-games.html.

Here you will calculate probabilities based upon visual diagrams. This game consists of 6 different probability games.

In the games you can win tickets in carnival games, by making the correct probability considerations, and choosing the events with the highest chance of occurring.

Answer the Following Questions after completing

Number Board Game:

1.What is the probability in ratio form that your number will be chosen after a spin?
2.What is the probability of it landing on a black square?
a. Red square?
b.Green square?
c. On a white square?
d. On a number greater than 20?

Conduct 10 trials and record each outcome.
e.g. Sample Space: {1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,���36}

Shell Game:
3.What are the chances of you picking a shell worth 1 point?
4.What is the probability of you picking a shell worth 10 points?
Conduct this experiment 10 times and record each outcome.

Tally how many times you follow the marble accurately.

e.g.

Plinko:
5.Was the outcome of this game what you expected?
6. Do you consider this game to have a  high probability of winning or low probability of winning?7. Out of the 6 games which one did you like best? Why?
8.Which one did you like the least? Why?

3. Finally, after completing of the above tasks, you will begin applying what you have learned into the baseball business.This is your chance to demonstrate your data and statistics skills. You are now a multi-millionaire baseball recruiter searching for the best top 10 players.

Below under the resources tab you will find the links of website for four major league baseball teams: Yankess, Mets, Red Sox, & Phillies. You are going to make your decision based on 2010 data for each team. At each site you will notice a various forms of tables and graphs, make sure you get you information from the "team batting" table. (Note, that each category can be sorted; feel free to sort each to note who has the highest runs, hits, etc.)

Did you know that a batting average involves calculating the probability of a player hitting the ball? The sample space is the total number of time a player has had at bat and each hit is a favorable outcome.

Therefore, in 10 at-bats a player gets 3 hits, his or her batting average is 3/10 or 30%. For baseball stats, all the percentages are multiplied by 10, so a 30% probability translates to a 300 batting average. So let's say your favorite baseball player is batting 300. This means that when he or she goes up to the plate, they only have a 30% chance of hitting the ball

Formula to calculating batting average of a player:

BA= Number of hits � Number of at-bats chances.

After you have calculated the high Batting Average for your players,  you can proceed to forming your new baseball team. ( Players do not necessarily have to be all from the same baseball team)

Next, using a table provide each players name, age, team, Data of: # of hits (H), # of at-bats (AB), and Batting average (BA) score. Do not forget to mention why each player has a likely chance of scoring a run.

e.g.

9. How has the understanding of probability help you with the understanding of baseball statistics?

Finally, your last task to completing this webquest is to give your team a name. You will later present to the class a poster of your new baseball team, with displayed data of each players BA (batting average).